How the forecast works

ObservatoryOS combines structural condition models with reviewed signals to show conditions across its working Lenses, Workforce and SaaS.

Two signal sources

Structural Condition Models

Conditions are derived from transparent, editable factors that describe how work is actually performed, not how it is titled.

These models change slowly and intentionally, like climate patterns.

Reviewed Radar Signals

Publicly reported workforce changes are gathered and reviewed by hand before inclusion. Data is not updated continuously.

  • · Provide real-world context
  • · Increase evidence density on the radar
  • · Never mechanically change condition scores

The Factor Model

Four weighted factors combine to produce composite pressure and durability scores. Adjust the sliders to see how the model responds.

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From Signal to Evidence

Every piece of evidence goes through a systematic process before appearing on the radar.

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Evidence Radar

View confirmed evidence points across time and geography. Click any signal for details.

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"Radar signals inform the forecast.
They do not rewrite the atmospheric model."

Evidence provides context. Conditions are determined by structural factors.